Cambridge IGCSE · Topic 8.3
IGCSE Maths 0580 / Topic 8 / IGCSE

List every outcome.

When two things happen together, such as two dice or a coin and a spinner, a sample space diagram lists every equally likely outcome. A Venn diagram sorts a group into overlapping sets.

The key idea

In a sample space diagram every cell is equally likely, so \(\text{P} = \dfrac{\text{cells in the event}}{\text{total cells}}\). In a Venn diagram, fill the overlap first, then the rest of each circle, then the outside; the probability is the region's count over the total.

234567345678456789567891067891011789101112 123456 123456 first dice second dice P(total 8) = 5/36
Fig. 1: sample space for the total of two fair dice; 5 of the 36 equally likely cells give a total of 8
Section 01

Sample space diagrams.

In the lab, choose two dice and the rule for combining them (add, multiply, difference), then pick an event. Count the shaded cells: that number over the total number of cells is the probability.

Worked example Two dice
Two fair dice are rolled and the scores are added. Use Fig. 1 to find (a) P(total 8) (b) P(total 10 or more) (c) P(a double).
  1. There are \(6 \times 6 = 36\) equally likely cells.
  2. (a) 8 appears 5 times: \(\dfrac{5}{36}\).
  3. (b) 10 appears 3 times, 11 twice and 12 once: \(\dfrac{6}{36} = \dfrac{1}{6}\).
  4. (c) Doubles lie on the diagonal (1,1) to (6,6): \(\dfrac{6}{36} = \dfrac{1}{6}\).
Answer: (a) \(\tfrac{5}{36}\)   (b) \(\tfrac{1}{6}\)   (c) \(\tfrac{1}{6}\)
Worked example Coin and dice
A fair coin is thrown and a fair dice is rolled. Find the probability of a head and an even number.
  1. Outcomes: H1, H2, ..., H6, T1, ..., T6, which is \(2 \times 6 = 12\).
  2. Head and even: H2, H4, H6, which is 3 outcomes.
  3. \(\dfrac{3}{12} = \dfrac{1}{4}\).
Answer: \(\tfrac{1}{4}\)
Worked example Two spinners
Spinner A is numbered 1, 2, 3 and spinner B is numbered 1, 2, 3, 4; both are fair. The two numbers are multiplied. Find the probability that the product is even.
  1. The grid has \(3 \times 4 = 12\) cells.
  2. A product is odd only when both numbers are odd: A is 1 or 3, B is 1 or 3, giving \(2 \times 2 = 4\) odd cells.
  3. Even cells \(= 12 - 4 = 8\), so \(\dfrac{8}{12} = \dfrac{2}{3}\).
Answer: \(\tfrac{2}{3}\)
Examiner trap

(2, 6) and (6, 2) are DIFFERENT outcomes: the first dice shows 2 in one and 6 in the other. Counting them once is why students get \(\tfrac{3}{36}\) instead of \(\tfrac{5}{36}\) for a total of 8.

Section 02

Venn diagrams with two sets.

In the lab, click a region of the Venn diagram to see its count and its probability. Always fill in the overlap first, then subtract it from each circle's total.

Worked example Filling a Venn diagram
In a class of 30, 17 play football, 12 play tennis and 5 play both. A student is chosen at random. Find the probability that the student plays (a) tennis (b) exactly one of the sports (c) neither.
  1. Overlap: 5. Football only: \(17 - 5 = 12\). Tennis only: \(12 - 5 = 7\).
  2. Outside: \(30 - (12 + 5 + 7) = 6\).
  3. (a) The whole tennis circle: \(\dfrac{12}{30} = \dfrac{2}{5}\).
  4. (b) Exactly one: \(\dfrac{12 + 7}{30} = \dfrac{19}{30}\).
  5. (c) \(\dfrac{6}{30} = \dfrac{1}{5}\).
Answer: (a) \(\tfrac{2}{5}\)   (b) \(\tfrac{19}{30}\)   (c) \(\tfrac{1}{5}\)
Worked example An unknown overlap
Of 40 people, 22 have a cat, 18 have a dog and 7 have neither. Find the probability that a person chosen at random has both.
  1. Let \(x\) have both. Cat only \(= 22 - x\), dog only \(= 18 - x\).
  2. All regions add to 40: \((22 - x) + x + (18 - x) + 7 = 40\).
  3. \(47 - x = 40\), so \(x = 7\).
  4. \(\text{P(both)} = \dfrac{7}{40}\).
Answer: \(\tfrac{7}{40}\)
Examiner trap

Do not put 17 in the football-only region: 17 is the WHOLE football circle, which already includes the 5 who play both.

Stage 1 · Learn

Check your understanding

Four quick checks. Each correct answer earns XP and records this skill on your profile.

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Two dice are rolled. How many equally likely outcomes are in the sample space?

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A coin is thrown and a dice is rolled. How many outcomes are possible?

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In a Venn diagram, which region is \(A \cap B\)?

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Two fair dice are rolled. What is the probability that the total is 12?

Section 03

Set notation in probability.

(Extended) Venn questions may use set notation: \(A \cap B\) is "A and B" (the overlap), \(A \cup B\) is "A or B or both" (everything inside the circles), and \(A'\) is "not A".

Worked example Reading the notation (Extended)
For the football (F) and tennis (T) class above, find \(\text{P}(F \cap T)\), \(\text{P}(F \cup T)\) and \(\text{P}(F \cap T')\).
  1. \(F \cap T\) is the overlap: \(\dfrac{5}{30} = \dfrac{1}{6}\).
  2. \(F \cup T\) is everything in the circles: \(\dfrac{12 + 5 + 7}{30} = \dfrac{24}{30} = \dfrac{4}{5}\).
  3. \(F \cap T'\) is in F but not in T, the football-only region: \(\dfrac{12}{30} = \dfrac{2}{5}\).
Answer: \(\tfrac{1}{6}\), \(\tfrac{4}{5}\), \(\tfrac{2}{5}\)
Worked example Probabilities in a Venn diagram (Extended)
\(\text{P}(A) = 0.6\), \(\text{P}(B) = 0.5\) and \(\text{P}(A \cap B) = 0.3\). Find \(\text{P}(A \cup B)\) and \(\text{P}(A \cup B)'\).
  1. A only \(= 0.6 - 0.3 = 0.3\); B only \(= 0.5 - 0.3 = 0.2\).
  2. \(\text{P}(A \cup B) = 0.3 + 0.3 + 0.2 = 0.8\).
  3. Outside both: \(1 - 0.8 = 0.2\).
Answer: \(\text{P}(A \cup B) = 0.8\), \(\text{P}(A \cup B)' = 0.2\)
Your turn
(Extended) \(\text{P}(A) = 0.45\), \(\text{P}(B) = 0.35\) and \(\text{P}(A \cup B) = 0.6\). Find \(\text{P}(A \cap B)\).
Examiner trap

\(\text{P}(A \cup B)\) is NOT \(\text{P}(A) + \text{P}(B)\) when the sets overlap: adding counts the overlap twice. Use the regions of the diagram.

Stage 2 · Exam

Exam-style questions

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Two fair dice are rolled. Find the probability that the difference between the scores is 2.

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Of 60 people, 35 like apples, 28 like bananas and 9 like neither. A person is chosen at random. Find the probability that they like both.

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(Extended) \(\text{P}(A) = 0.45\), \(\text{P}(B) = 0.35\) and \(\text{P}(A \cup B) = 0.6\). Find \(\text{P}(A \cap B')\).

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Fair spinners numbered 1, 2, 3 and 1, 2, 3, 4 are spun and the numbers multiplied. Find the probability that the product is greater than 6.

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Six original Cambridge-style questions
Coin and spinner outcomes, totals of two dice, filling Venn diagrams, set notation and a dice game.